"Бешенство - не вина, а беда зараженных животных..."
Из утреннего чтения:
asriyan : "Вообще, судьба Галиции – трагедия, не имеющая исторических аналогов. Что-то подобное описывается только фентезийной макулатуре – эльфы, попавшие в руки Черного властелина и после многолетних мучений обращенные им в орков.
Сегодняшняя Галичина сформирована межвоенной Польшей и нацистской Германией. И это именно «Антироссия». Во всех войнах и локальных конфликтах 90-ых годов принимали участие отряды УНА-УНСО: Карабах, Приднестровье, Абхазия, Югославия, Чечня… Никаких государственных интересов Украины ни в одном из этих конфликтов не было и быть не могло. Как и не существовало у «украинцев» никаких исторических связей ни с азербайджанцами, ни с грузинами, ни с чеченцами, ни с хорватами, ни с мусульманами Боснии и Герцоговины. У галичан был только один мотив к участию во всех перечисленных войнах – на противоположной стороне воевали русские добровольцы. Желание воевать против русских в любой точке земного шара – это единственная задача, прошитая в программе сегодняшнего галичанина. Да, знание истории позволяет понимать, что это не столько их вина, сколько их беда. Но бешенство – тоже не вина, а беда зараженных животных. Это не отменяет необходимости защищаться от опасности. Галичане в сегодняшнем изводе – смертники. Единственная осознаваемая ими задача невыполнима по причине несоизмеримости сил. Но отказаться от нее и попытаться выработать позитивную программу самостоятельного созидательного существования без постоянного поиска возможности нового конфликта с Россией они и не пытаются. Не хотят или принципиально неспособны – пока сказать трудно… Здесь не идет речь о добре и зле. Речь идет только о жизни и смерти. Люди, не имеющие позитивных ценностей, не могущие сформулировать смысл своего существования и существования своего государства без упоминания имени «врага» – не просто хотят убивать. Они и сами не хотят жить. У них нет программы для жизни. Они служат смерти в самом прямом смысле слова. Поэтому не надо удивляться выступлению Дмитрия Корчинского и идее «украинского Талибана». Ничего нового. Просто Галичина.>>>>
------------------------------- Надо перечитать Гумилева, что он там писал про этнос-химеру, который возникает на стыке цивилизаций. Кстати, вчера бродил по лесу, в наушниках был Гумилев, в поисках хазарского каганата. Нынешняя Украины когда-то была в его составе. Куда что делось?
Через тысячу лет на территории нынешней Украины в память о неком СССР останутся хотя бы остовы АЭС. В память о неком майдане останется лишь легенда про людей, которые громко били в барабаны и ходили с кастрюлями на голове. Которые потом, захватив власть, стали уничтожать заводы, электростанции, и своих подданных. Tags : Украина, исторический оптимизм, не думай о секундах свысока, ссылки
As I've mentioned, we've been getting a LOT of rain lately... and it's been fascinating watching the valley below us fill up with water, to the point where it's actually starting to look like a giant lake in spots! The Snoqualmie River is at flood stage and some of its tributaries are swelling enough to start overflowing the roads. Earlier today, one of the major routes into Duvall was closed when what I'm pretty sure is Adair Creek finally crested the roadway. While we don't have to cross the valley to get home, we do have to take the road northbound that leads to the other major route into Duvall, so we get to deal with at least some of the backup, too. By the time I headed home, Woodinville-Duvall Road into Duvall was backed up all the way across the valley and up the hill, meaning no one was really moving on the northbound road either... and it only got worse. It took Rackham an hour and a half to drive a route that normally takes him about 35 minutes.
Mr. [Martin] Feldstein and a number of other careful economists—including Richard Anderson of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and Edward Lazear of the Stanford University Graduate School of Business—have compared worker pay (including the value of fringe benefits) with productivity using a consistent adjustment for inflation. They move in tandem. And in a study last year, João Paulo Pessoa and John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics compared worker compensation and productivity in both the United States and the United Kingdom from 1972-2010. There was no decoupling in either country.
The empirical reality in both countries is consistent with economic reasoning. Firms cannot afford a misalignment of their workers’ pay and productivity increases—the employees will move to other firms eager to hire these now more productive workers. Higher economy-wide productivity, after all, means that workers add more to the bottom lines of employers throughout the economy. To secure the services of these more-productive workers, firms bid up worker pay. This competition for labor services is what links pay to productivity.
Competitive markets also deliver the goods, so to speak, to workers in their role as consumers. Higher productivity means the prices of consumer goods and services decline as output increases. As this happens, workers’ spending power—their real income—is enhanced.
Пишут про то, что 59 миллиардов не понятно на сто тратят, только названия проектов без расшифровки.
В одном комментарии пишут, что много расходов на роскошь для офицеров. В другом спрашивают, понимает ли автор статьи, что её может читать и противник? И не надо его, этого противника, учить. Еще в комментариях ссылка на( ролик.Collapse )
Развели секретность, понимаешь... И пилят военный бюджет. Навального на них нет. Tags : деньги, ссылки
"США занимают шокирующее 31-е место в мире с точки зрения средней скорости download. Лидерами в мире являются Гонконг на 72,49 Мбит и Сингапуре на 58,84 Mbps. А Америка? Средняя скорость 20,77 Мбит, отставание от таких стран, как Эстония, Венгрия, Словакия и Уругвай.
Скорость upload еще хуже. В глобальном масштабе США занимают 42-е место со средней скоростью загрузки от 6,31 Мбит, за Лесото, Беларусью, Словенией..."
Объясняют тем, что рынок уже поделен монополиями, им нет резона тратиться на оптическое волокно, можно просто повышать цены для потребителя. В комментариях пишут про алчность компаний и недостаток государственного контроля.
I very nearly skipped ahead and posted this one yesterday... When we bought the house, we loved the huge room downstairs because we knew it would be perfect for building in a Library. We were pretty surprised when we saw that it also had a movie screen (powered to raise and lower to cover some windows... the ones where we just put in new blackout blinds, in an effort to make the room work better for what we want) and a rather nice, if old projection system. ( Blathering about projectors, under the cut to spare everyone. ;-)Collapse )
So, yesterday, the new projector arrived and Rackham cobbled everything together and set it up on a stool to give it a test run. And it. Was. AWESOME. And, of course, we had only one choice for the first movie to play on the new theater system...
So, yes, we're a bit excited... this is the sort of thing that I don't think we would have ever thought to do on our own, but since the screen was already set up, it was too much to resist! And you can tell how excited I am, because I'm going to inflict more photos one you.
I still need to see about getting some footage of it, but Zoë (our cat who already likes watching television) is absolutely riveted by the big screen... she would even start walking toward people on the screen when they appeared and then stop, sort of puzzled. It was really funny! I think the size of things is really confusing her. Current Mood : excited Tags : photos 2014
I've mentioned it before, but even after all these years, we have a hard time believing how well our current cats get along. Our old cats, Cymry and Polly, got to a point where they could tolerate each other... but we actually had to feed them in separate parts of the house or they'd fight.
Wow, did it rain that day. I mean, we're used to having a sort of ever-present drizzle, but this was out and out downpour lasting pretty much all day long. It's been pretty cool watching as the valley has started to fill up, especially where we're high enough above it... fields are becoming ponds and ponds are becoming lakes. Right now the area is on flood watch and there are a few roads south of us that are closed due to water... and there's a bit of worry for some of the major roads across the valley:
" 8. Со стороны Запада безответственно поддерживать амбиции и иллюзии западноукраинских радикалов, верящих, что выбор между Востоком и Западом действительно существует, и что ЕС и США способны не только поддержать, но и обеспечить Украину в её стремлении на Запад. Ясного и твёрдого желания идти ради неё на жертвы у Запада нет. Запад помог разразиться кризису, который ему не нужен и за последствия которого он не готов нести ответственность."
3. "Вот суммы 140-200 млн евро и 130 млн евро в год прозвучали довольно убедительно. И скорее всего, действительно поступят. Что-то ещё дадут в порядке реструктурирования кредитов. Плюс несколько млрд на оплату штата собственных "консультантов" (смотрящих). Немногие знают, но порядка половины всех кредитов МВФ Эрефии шли на содержание "консультантов" того же МВФ. Т. е. Фонд сам себе эти деньги и платил. Эдак и я готов дать Украине любую сумму в долг, при условии, что эта сумма сперва будет выплачена мне же в качестве зарплаты (допустим, за ЖЖ-оналитеггу), а потом "возвращена" опять мне, с %%.
Существуют в подобных случаях и др. маленькие хитрости, но говорить о них пока просто рано. Потому что ни Жозе Мануэль Баррозу, ни возглавляемая им Еврокомиссия раздавать кредиты никому не уполномочены. Всё, что им заявляется - такое же сотрясение воздуха, как заявления какого-н. Жириновского." линк
The Kickstarter is gently percolating upwards, with only $1030 to go to hit the e-book stretch goal. I am good with this; we have most of three weeks, so I’m not sweating the gentle rise. We are at 131% funded already!
But I thought it would be fun to shake things up with a game! So what I’m thinking of doing is asking people to photograph (or describe, or link to screenshots of) their favorite socks! And then I will randomly pick a few people and color a laundry dragon based on that sock design. These random dragons will form the basis for the wallpaper I’m giving away at the $5 and up level!
I thought it would be fun to do something interactive to keep interest in the campaign going. My only question is… what if people want to buy their dragons?
I can see a few options:
* Your sketch on a postcard
* Your original sketch
* Your original sketch, plus the book
But I’m not sure what the interest level would be, or how to price them. To be fair the originals have to be up there with the ones on offer ($75-100), unless I make them really tiny, like business card size… at which point, is that too small?
The Dodecahedron of Decency and the Wrong Champions
This cartoon by Stilton Jarlsburg from the Travon Martin verdict last year is at once both sad and amusing. The amusing part is the exposure of the meaninglessness of President Obama’s “circle of compassion” speech (and Jarlsburg goes after the “trapezoid of meaningless rhetoric” and “the dodecahedron of decency.” But the sad part, of course, is the fact that this cartoon points to a deep underlying truth: President Obama got involved for all the wrong reasons. Rather than heal, he chose to inflame and divide.
The Wrong Champions
The Left is notorious for making bad choices when they select a “poster child” for one cause after another:
In the McCarthy communist pursuit in 1954, the Left held up poor little Annie Lee Moss as having been picked on terribly, a case of mistaken identity. She testified under oath that she had never even heard of the Communist Party. The recent movie Good Night and Good Luck (2000) featured this hearing (despite knowing the real story), and the audience cheered when Moss was “exonerated” and McCarthy embarrassed. Of course, Moss really was a Communist, as was later proven (and in fact known at the time), but she was defended with the notion that her new posting handling top-secret documents didn’t matter because they were already encrypted by the time she received them. Yes, that’s the defense. (I have never learned the circumstances of her promotion from dessert cook in the cafeteria to encrypted documents clerk at the Pentagon in a short period, but she certainly was not the only communist involved. In fact, Wikipedia suggests that “Moss most likely had indirect contact with Communists through her cafeteria workers’ union” — and seems to have forgotten her perjury on this point.
Portrayal and Betrayal
I thought Wikipedia’s treatment of the fact that McCarthy was right was interesting. They downplay the idea that he was “vindicated,” because it didn’t change the way McCarthy was portrayed by the media. Thus he’s still effectively wrong. Here’s the Wikipedia statement:
Among some conservative authors, the evidence of Moss’s Communist Party membership has been used as part of an attempted vindication of McCarthy. While some have noted it as showing laxity on the part of the army’s security review board, it has not changed the overall picture of McCarthy and his methods presented by the media. (Bolding is mine.)
Exactly. The leftist media still doesn’t like him, so the fact that he was right (and they were wrong) makes no difference. Interestingly, the truth about Annie Moss was known for years (including by the producers of Good Night and Good Luck), but those producers chose to misrepresent her as an innocent party to audience members. Annie Moss was one more in a line of left-promoted sympathic faces for their causes, and once again, was not deserving of sympathy.
By the time Jennifer was eight years old, she had spent 640 days in hospitals and had undergone more than 40 surgeries. She had had her appendix, gall bladder, and part of her intestines removed due to what doctors believed was a gastrointestinal disorder. She was fed through a feeding tube.
The girl’s plight even attracted the attention of first lady Hillary Clinton, who cited her case as an example of the high cost of medical care.
She was sickly because she needed to be for political reasons, so her mother injected her with drugs (and allegedly, feces) to produce this effect. The mother, Kathleen Bush, ultimately went to jail — after months of little Jennifer Bush making appearances on behalf of Hillary Clinton’s health care initiative. That little girl truly did deserve our sympathy, but for the wrong reasons. And it turned out that at least some in the Clinton organization believed that the girl’s situation was abuse, not illness, and covered this up.
I understand that she recovered completely once separated from her mother and political handlers. But now, the daughter reportedly denies that her mother ever made her ill, and a judge ruled recently that she can see her despicable mother. I’ll bet she votes the same way now.
Not me, please!
It was another posted child for the left, sort of, that started the DeHavelle blog: Barack Obama’s infamous soldier’s bracelet. That was the affair that got me referred to personally by President Obama as “some nut in his mother’s basement”(after being questioned about my article by ABC’s Jake Tapper).
Two things about this reference occurred to me. First, Obama’s information is wrong as usual; my father, were he alive, would have just turned 103. Second, I have no interest in becoming a poster child for an Obama campaign. The fate of such people tends to be poor.
“A student” (that’s this anonymous person’s e-mail moniker) sent me this CNN report on raising the minimum wage. ”A student” – who calls himself or herself “proudly progressive” – requests my reaction specifically to this passage:
When there’s a minimum wage increase, somesmall business owners will raise the pay for most, if not all, hourly workers in order to preserve their wage structure and retain quality employees.
This argument is common; it’s a species of the “ripple-effect” argument. One version of that argument (which is not the one on display here) is that some labor-union contracts tie their members’ hourly wage rates to some multiple of the federal minimum wage (or so I’m told). If indeed such contracts exist, then under them a hike in the federal minimum wage will automatically trigger – by contractual stipulation – hikes in the wages of those unionized workers whose hourly wage rates are contractually tied to the federal minimum wage.
I have nothing to say about this union-contract ripple effect other than to point out that it perhaps supplies one hint for why labor unions are so keen on raising the federal minimum wage. But I have no knowledge of the prevalence of such contract terms or of any their details.
In contrast, the alleged ripple effect discussed in the CNN report is a competitive market phenomenon. Employers who must pay their lowest-paid workers higher wages when the minimum wage is raised will, under this theory, raise also the wages of some or many of their higher paid employees in order to (as the CNN report puts it) “preserve their wage structure and retain quality employees.” That is, even though employers are not legally required to hike the wages of these higher-paid employees, competition to retain employees prompts employers nevertheless to hike those wages.
I do not doubt that some such “ripple effect” wage hikes occur. Within firms employees do care about the relative-wage structure. But I do doubt the prevalence of such ripple effects. If employers must pay higher wage rates not only to their lowest-paid workers but also to some or many of their higher-paid workers, the costs to employers of a higher mandated minimum wage are greater than those costs would be if a hike in the minimum wage required them to raise the wages only of their lowest-paid employees. All but the most naive proponents of the minimum wage must admit that at some point employers cannot simply absorb these higher labor costs or simply pass them all along in the form of higher prices charged to their customers.
That is, at some point all but the most naive minimum-wage proponents must admit one of two things. If the ripple effect exists, it must destroy some jobs. (Machines don’t care what other machines or workers are paid.) Or the ripple effect is not as prevalent as naive analysis supposes it to be: a higher minimum wage will compress wage structures rather than ratcheting all wages up.
One other thought. If this ripple effect is real – that is, if employers in reality are obliged by competitive pressures to respond to a hike in the minimum wage by raising the wages of some or many of their higher-wage employees – then this fact is further evidence against the claim that monopsony power infects labor markets. If employers are obliged by competitive market forces (in response to a hike in the minimum wage to $10.10) to raise wages of employees making, say, $11.00 per hour, that is evidence that employers have no monopsony power over these higher-paid workers. Employers with monopsony power over these higher-paid workers would simply tell these workers to deal with the fact that some other employees’ wages have risen. Employers would raise these higher-paid employees’ wages only if these employees will quit if their wages are not raised. Employers whose workers will quit under such circumstances cannot plausibly be said to have monopsony power over such workers.
So unless proponents of the monopsony-power hypothesis can plausibly explain that employers have monopsony power over only their lowest-paid workers (those paid the minimum wage) and not over workers any higher up on the wage scale, then any observed ripple effect would be evidence against the real-world prevalence of monopsony power.
Note that the absence of any observed ripple effect is not evidence that employers do have monopsony power over any of their employees. The absence of any such ripple effect is more plausibly evidence that each employee is paid a competitive wage that reflects his or her productivity.
Unfortunately, the truth is that in universities the world over, the tremendous analytical power and insights of market economics are unappreciated. For whatever political or ideological reasons, we have deprived generations of university students of a clear understanding of basic economic forces and their proper role in a free society.